WP 9: Long term modelling of sustainable FNS

General Information

The work package will provide foresight towards 2050 on sustainable EU FNS by improving long term models:

  1. To develop a work plan for operationalizing the framework for assessing EU SFNS (WP1, 2 to 4) in a quantitative toolbox (SUSFANS), with a focus on two major food supply chains; (WP5), which links enhanced European and global economic and biophysical models, including short term models (WP8), and micro models of EU balanced diets (WP7);
  2. To improve food demand modelling at the household level, building on WP2 and WP7;
  3. To develop the modelling of food supply, building on WP4;
  4. To enhance the modelling of the food chain, building on WP3;
  5. Building on task 1-4, to create the SUSFANS toolbox for assessing EU SFNS. The toolbox enables the consistent monitoring of EU SFNS in the short, medium and long term (up to 50 years) for use by case studies (WP5), foresight (WP11) and policy support (WP11).

Latest Publication

Newsletter 2

The second newsletter answers research questions like: "What do European consumers think about sustainable food?", "Can information beef up the demand for meat alternatives?" or "Can we bank on seafood for a healthier food consumption?" It gives short summaries of the deliverables and papers, published during the last month

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Operationalising the health aspects of sustainable diets: a review

Shifting towards a more sustainable food consumption pattern is an important strategy to mitigate climate change. In the past decade, various studies have optimised environmentally sustainable diets using different methodological approaches. The aim of the present review was to categorise and summarise the different approaches to operationalise the health aspects of environmentally sustainable diets.

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Newsletter 1

The first Newsletter of 2016 on project updates and informative SUSFANS research

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Spatial heterogeneity of the agricultural sector in economic models

Recent food price spikes and their potential link to biofuel and increased food demand (e.g. Ajanovic, 2011; Gilbert, 2010; Mueller et al., 2011; Piesse and Thirtle, 2009; Zilberman et al., 2012), on-going land use changes, such as conversion of tropical forest to agricultural land, and their relation to Green House Gas Emissions (cf. Harvey and Pilgrim, 2011) and discussions around the so-called bioeconomy (e.g. Hertel et al., 2013; Sheppard et al., 2011; Zilberman et al., 2013) all have renewed societal and scientific interest in better understanding how agricultural land use reacts to price and policy signals. Consequently, economic models working on quite different scales and being based on different methodologies were extended in recent years to better deal with land use and management issues.

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News in work package 9

Review Article: Operationalising the health aspects of sustainable diets: a review

Shifting towards a more sustainable food consumption pattern is an important strategy to mitigate climate change. In the past decade, various studies have optimised environmentally sustainable diets using different methodological approaches. The aim of the present review was to categorise and summarise the different approaches to operationalise the health aspects of environmentally sustainable diets.

The reactions of land use to price and policy signals

Recent food price spikes and their potential link to an increased demand of biofuels and food, ongoing land use changes, such as conversion of tropical forest to agricultural land, and their relation to Green House Gas Emissions as well as discussions about the so called bio-economy – all these factors have renewed societal and scientific interest in better understanding how agricultural land use reacts to price and policy signals.
For scientists, especially economists, it is crucial to integrate these issues into models.