WP 9: Long term modelling of sustainable FNS

General Information

The work package will provide foresight towards 2050 on sustainable EU FNS by improving long term models:

  1. To develop a work plan for operationalizing the framework for assessing EU SFNS (WP1, 2 to 4) in a quantitative toolbox (SUSFANS), with a focus on two major food supply chains; (WP5), which links enhanced European and global economic and biophysical models, including short term models (WP8), and micro models of EU balanced diets (WP7);
  2. To improve food demand modelling at the household level, building on WP2 and WP7;
  3. To develop the modelling of food supply, building on WP4;
  4. To enhance the modelling of the food chain, building on WP3;
  5. Building on task 1-4, to create the SUSFANS toolbox for assessing EU SFNS. The toolbox enables the consistent monitoring of EU SFNS in the short, medium and long term (up to 50 years) for use by case studies (WP5), foresight (WP11) and policy support (WP11).

Latest Publication

Deliverable 9.2: Enhanced modelling of sustainable food and nutrition security: food consumption and nutrition behaviour of European households

This deliverable describes the enhanced modelling of food consumption and nutrition behaviour under constraints with a focus on European households and population health impacts of changes in diets. The demand side enhancements enable the analysis of SFNS over time and in response to (policy) shocks.

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Deliverable 9.3: Enhanced modelling of sustainable food and nutrition security: food supply and use of scarce resources

This deliverable reports on Task 9.3 and describes the enhanced modelling of food supply and the use of scarce resources. The enhancements improve the analysis of sustainable food and nutrition security in response to (policy) shocks with regard to coverage and accuracy of sustainability metrics provided by long-run modelling tools in SUSFANS.

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Newsletter 2

The second newsletter answers research questions like: "What do European consumers think about sustainable food?", "Can information beef up the demand for meat alternatives?" or "Can we bank on seafood for a healthier food consumption?" It gives short summaries of the deliverables and papers, published during the last month

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Operationalising the health aspects of sustainable diets: a review

Shifting towards a more sustainable food consumption pattern is an important strategy to mitigate climate change. In the past decade, various studies have optimised environmentally sustainable diets using different methodological approaches. The aim of the present review was to categorise and summarise the different approaches to operationalise the health aspects of environmentally sustainable diets.

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News in work package 9

Enhanced modelling of sustainable food and nutrition security: Food supply and use of scarce resources

It is the vision of SUSFANS to contribute to a better understanding of the European food system and to provide tools for policy makers to advance with respect to Sustainable Food and Nutrition Security in Europe. All three dimensions of sustainability – social, environmental and economic – are addressed in the project in a holistic, integrative approach building upon metrics, models and foresight tools.

Review Article: Operationalising the health aspects of sustainable diets: a review

Shifting towards a more sustainable food consumption pattern is an important strategy to mitigate climate change. In the past decade, various studies have optimised environmentally sustainable diets using different methodological approaches. The aim of the present review was to categorise and summarise the different approaches to operationalise the health aspects of environmentally sustainable diets.

The reactions of land use to price and policy signals

Recent food price spikes and their potential link to an increased demand of biofuels and food, ongoing land use changes, such as conversion of tropical forest to agricultural land, and their relation to Green House Gas Emissions as well as discussions about the so called bio-economy – all these factors have renewed societal and scientific interest in better understanding how agricultural land use reacts to price and policy signals.
For scientists, especially economists, it is crucial to integrate these issues into models.